Thursday’s update now pegs the likelihood of near-normal activity at just 25%, a decline from the 40% chances outlined in May's outlook.
NOAA doubles likelihood of ‘above normal’ hurricane season in latest outlook
![hurricane-florence-noaa-satellite-photo-9-12.png](https://assets.euromoneydigital.com/dims4/default/3191745/2147483647/strip/true/crop/700x409+0+0/resize/840x491!/quality/90/?url=http%3A%2F%2Feuromoney-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2F22%2F53%2F8034829292e3b9cfcac343e364a1%2Fhurricane-florence-noaa-satellite-photo-9-12.png)
Thursday’s update now pegs the likelihood of near-normal activity at just 25%, a decline from the 40% chances outlined in May's outlook.