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The firm may be a victim of its own success and size but a challenging macro landscape is also presenting obstacles for levered brokers as The Squeeze 2.0 looms.
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Organic growth will slow from historically elevated levels and the increased cost of debt will take its toll.
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If the Floridian goes through with a listing, it will be a true test of whether the public markets believe that the state’s fragmented insurance market is fixed, or on its way to being so.
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The US market’s messaging around E&S growth means the sector will likely face ever-greater scrutiny in 2024.
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Carriers will be taking more risk net this year – which may arrest the speed of decline in cyber pricing.
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January 1, 2024 was a “spotty” renewal, with the most over-subscribed deals being those bought by the major global cedants with good track records, whereas others did not attract as much attention.
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NFP will need to be brought close enough to realize the benefits, but not so close its talent feels smothered.
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Sources suggest that Aon has been proactive in weighing acquisitions since Q4, with a US mid-market platform the obvious gap.
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The reforms are working for claims filed after December 2022, but attorneys are still litigating claims filed prior to the legislation.
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For some time now, property has been doing the heavy lifting around growth and rate rises in E&S.
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The loss threats come as the space is going through a softening cycle, with 2%-2.5% rates and a few sources noting cases of 1.7%-1.8%.
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Its confederation of insurance subsidiaries will have to operate with fewer strategic advantages than they do today.