Personal auto
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The biggest drag on underlying results was personal auto.
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Progressive reported solid January results, but its stock still under performed the market by ~3% on the day as it became the latest to face the pressures of meeting elevated expectations in auto.
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Coming into 2019, with margins reaching cyclical highs, and pricing still elevated, the dynamic in auto changed on a dime.
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Multiple P&C companies presented at the Bank of America conference. We present quick hits of the highlights.
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A competitive market continued in auto insurance in January with the BLS CPI statistics showing auto prices flat at 0%.
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Kemper pointed to divergent competitive trends between non-standard and preferred.
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On Thursday morning, Travelers reported EPS of $3.32 versus $2.13 YoY and a headline beat versus analyst consensus of $3.29, in part driven by low catastrophe losses (thanks to an aggregate reinsurance recovery).
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The car insurer, which has held quota share partnerships with Greenlight Re, entered receivership earlier this month.
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A past industry critic of Root has shifted to a more optimistic view of the company’s future.
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New inflation data shows continued pricing declines and rising average severity. Margin pressures continue to build as the spread widens, and frequency remains the wildcard.
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The auto insurer will remain on the stock exchange if it complies with a request for outstanding submissions.
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The carrier’s announcement that it was cancelling coverage to Uber has not affected the outlook.
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