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Rising sea levels and ocean warming were likely factors in Helene’s strength. -
The figure does not include NFIP losses.
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The numbers will be refined further to arrive at an industry loss estimate.
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The ratings agency expects insured losses of around $5bn for Helene.
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Tallahassee avoided a major hit – but flood and storm-surge losses remain unknown.
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The NFIP has a higher take-up rate in Tampa Bay, which experienced record coastal storm surge.
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Additional strengthening is expected before Helene makes landfall in Florida tonight.
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An unexpected shift east towards Tampa could push losses beyond $10bn.
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TSR predicts Atlanta, Georgia, could face Cat 1 windspeeds as the storm moves further inland.
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Helene is currently a Category 1, but rapid strengthening is anticipated over the next day.
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In the best-case scenario, a Big Bend-landing storm could cost $3bn-$5bn, Howden Re said.
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The system is forming in the same area as 2022’s Hurricane Ian.
