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Year-end reserving, Milton and wildfires will dominate Q4 earnings discussions.
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The anticipated portion ceded to reinsurance may reach the mid-to-high single-digit billions, it added.
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This will be the most expensive fire in the state’s history, it said.
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A $30bn industry loss would use one-third of Big Four’s 2025 cat budgets.
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Sources say the Fair Plan is under-reserved, leading to the possibility of member assessment.
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Rates are now falling, but submissions are still rising, according to wholesale brokers.
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The carrier is the largest writer of homeowners’ multi-peril in the state.
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CEO Cerio highlighted changes that allowed the insurer of last resort to combine commercial, coastal and personal lines.
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This publication revealed in July 2023 that the utility company had chosen to try self-insurance for the first time.
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As fires still rage, many fear early $10bn-$20bn estimates were too optimistic.
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The 2024 loss figure exceeded that of the previous record of C$6.2bn in 2016.
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The Palisades fire is estimated at $9bn-$12bn, while Eaton is $6bn-$8bn.